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The financial crisis ten years later

October 1, 2018 | Commentary

  • Ten years ago Lehman Brothers declared bankruptcy, setting off a chain of events that brought our financial system close to collapse. The recovery since has been filled withuncertainty, but generally characterized by steady growth that has brought us to a full employment economy and record highs in the equity market.
  • After the crisis the response was typical. Legislators and regulators went to work to fix perceived weaknesses in the system. Some of the initiatives have added costs with littlebenefit, but others strengthened bank capital requirements and improved treatment of off- exchange derivatives. These appear to be permanent improvements that reduce systemicrisk.
  • Financial crises and major market corrections almost always start from a highly optimistic environment and abundant leverage. Neither of these conditions are evident today. Investors seem not to trust the bull market and households are cautious in budgeting their debt. Economic and market cycles do not run according to a clock. As long as the fundamentals of the economy remain strong and typical excesses are scarce, investorsshould not be distracted from their long-term objectives.

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