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The Resurgence of Gold

November 1, 2025 | Commentary

  • The doubling of gold prices in less than two years has captured widespread attention while raising questions about why this is happening and what role gold might play in portfolios.
  • Many reasons are offered to explain this move. Prominent among them are a weaker dollar, geopolitical risks, increased central bank purchases and concerns about the resurgence of inflation caused by large and continuing federal deficits.
  • There is an adage that says the best cure for high prices is high prices. Gold is a physical commodity ultimately priced by supply and demand. With today's price above $4000 an ounce, there are powerful incentives for miners that generally can produce gold near $1500 an ounce to increase supply, but this takes time.
  • Large purchases of gold related ETFs in 2025 suggest considerable excitement by retail investors. Gold prices may continue to rise, but as they do there is a heightened risk of an eventual correction. Holding gold as a hedge against current geopolitical uncertainties has an appeal, but there is likely an opportunity cost versus buying equities that have shown a better long-term track record in growing economies.

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